Disappearing Dissent? Repression and State Consolidation in Mexico (with Javier Osorio and Livia Schubiger). Forthcoming. Journal of Peace Research. Part of special issue on archival research, edited by Laia Balcells and Chris Sullivan. PDF.
Trust in the Executive: Requiring Consensus and Turn-Taking in the Experimental Lab (with T. Clark Durant, Daniel Houser and Shuwen Li). Conditionally accepted. Journal of Peace Research. PDF and online appendix.
True Believers, Deserters, and Traitors: Who Leaves Insurgent Groups and Why (with Ben Oppenheim, Abbey Steele and Juan F. Vargas). 2015. Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(5): 794-823. PDF. Part of special issue on militias in civil war, edited by Corinna Jentzsch, Livia Schubiger, and Stathis N. Kalyvas.
How to Make Democracy Self-Enforcing After Civil War: Enabling Credible Yet Adaptable Elite Pacts (with T. Clark Durant). 2014. Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(5): 521-540. PDF.
An Institutional Remedy for Ethnic Patronage Politics (with T. Clark Durant). 2014. Journal of Theoretical Politics 26(1): 60-79. PDF.
Altruism, Righteousness, and Myopia (with T. Clark Durant). 2012. Critical Review 23(3): 257-302. PDF.
Historical Legacies of Conflict: From the Cristero Rebellion to Self-Defense Forces in Mexico (with Javier Osorio and Livia Schubiger). Revise and Resubmit, Comparative Political Studies. Part of special issue on micro-comparative studies of 20th century conflicts, edited by Stathis N. Kalyvas and Daniel Fedorowycz.
Territorial Control and Economic Growth: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Colombian Insurgency (with Rafael Ch and Juan F. Vargas).
The Tangible Effects of Ideology on Insurgent Behavior: Evidence from Colombia (with Juan Esteban Ugarriza).
Legacies of Lynching: Racial Killings in the American South and Contemporary Violence.
Policy Reports and Analyses
Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas (with Marianne Dahl, Helga Malmin Binningsbø, and Håvard Mokleiv Nygård). Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) Paper. January 2018.
Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco (with Marianne Dahl, Helga Malmin Binningsbø, and Håvard Mokleiv Nygård). Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) Paper. December 2017.
Cuando el Descabezamiento del Crimen Organizado Funciona: el Caso del Clan del Golfo en Colombia (with Juan David Gelvez Ferreira). London School of Economics Latin America and Caribbean Centre. October 2017.
Institutional Failure in the World’s Most Violent Country: Prison Conditions in El Salvador (with Viveca Pavon). August 2017.
Data4Peace (with Viviana Arias, César Caballero, Michael G. Findley, Oliver Kaplan, Ana Marrugo, Billy Matthias, Alejandro Ponce de León, María Paula Rojas, Angelika Rettberg, and Joe Young). Documento de Trabajo #47, Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo, Universidad de los Andes.
¿Qué Pasó, Colombia? Foco Económico. October 4, 2016.
¿Qué Vendrá Después de la Paz? Futurología desde la Ciencia Política. Tribuna: Revista de Asuntos Políticos. Escuela de Gobierno Alberto Lleras Camargo, Universidad de los Andes. August 2016.
Insurgent Defection in Civil War: Lessons from Colombia for Combating ISIS," (with Benjamin A. Oppenheim, Abbey Steele and Juan F. Vargas). Political Violence at a Glance. September 28, 2015.
To Be By Your Side: Unarmed Protection and Accompaniment in Colombia (with John Lindsay-Poland).